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Una contribución a la explicación del crecimiento económico en China. Nuevas series temporales y pruebas econométricas de varios modelos

Author

Listed:
  • Zhiming Long

    (Université Tsinghua de Beijing)

  • Rémy Herrera

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Apoyándose en nuevas series estadísticas de stocks de capital físico (o instalado) y de capital humano, totalmente reconstruidas, este artículo tratará de contribuir a la mejora de las explicaciones del crecimiento económico de China en el largo plazo. Se inicia con la presentación de nuestras bases de datos originales que utilizamos más tarde, haciendo hincapié en los métodos de construcción de varios stocks de capital físico (parte 1) y de capital humano (parte 2) sobre el período de 1952 a 2012. Luego se ofrecen estimaciones econométricas, teniendo en cuenta los cambios institucionales que han caracterizado esta trayectoria de crecimiento, y llevadas a cabo en el marco de una larga gama de modelos teóricos que van desde especificaciones solowianas estándar o aumentadas hasta formalizaciones linealizadas de crecimiento endógeno, incluyendo indicadores de investigación y desarrollo (I&D) para aclarar la cuestión de las contribuciones factoriales al crecimiento del PIB de China en el largo plazo (parte 3).

Suggested Citation

  • Zhiming Long & Rémy Herrera, 2018. "Una contribución a la explicación del crecimiento económico en China. Nuevas series temporales y pruebas econométricas de varios modelos," Post-Print hal-03233276, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03233276
    DOI: 10.1016/j.cesjef.2016.12.001
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03233276
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    Keywords

    Econometría; Crecimiento; Capital físico; Capital humano; I&D; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • N15 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Asia including Middle East
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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