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Extreme Heat and Stock Market Activity

Author

Listed:
  • Jonathan Peillex

    (ICD International Business School Paris, LEFMI - Laboratoire d’Économie, Finance, Management et Innovation - UR UPJV 4286 - UPJV - Université de Picardie Jules Verne)

  • Imane El Ouadghiri

    (PULV - Pôle Universitaire Léonard de Vinci, EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Mathieu Gomes

    (CleRMa - Clermont Recherche Management - ESC Clermont-Ferrand - École Supérieure de Commerce (ESC) - Clermont-Ferrand - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne)

  • Jamil Jaballah

    (EESC-GEM Grenoble Ecole de Management)

Abstract

We aim to advance our understanding of the adverse effects of extreme temperatures by examining the extent to which high temperatures affect stock market activity. We address this question by analyzing the trading volumes on the French stock market on days when the weather in Paris is excessively hot over the period 1995-2019. Our empirical analyses show that, on average, trading volumes fall significantly (between 4 percent and 10 percent) when maximum daily temperatures exceed 30°C (86°F). The observed negative association is remarkably robust to a battery of alternative analyses such as bin tests, event studies, and time-series regressions controlling for any seasonal effects and financial market conditions. From a theoretical perspective, this study contributes to the literature on behavioral finance by demonstrating the existence of a "hot weather" effect on financial markets. It also offers important managerial and public policy implications.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan Peillex & Imane El Ouadghiri & Mathieu Gomes & Jamil Jaballah, 2021. "Extreme Heat and Stock Market Activity," Post-Print hal-02935431, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02935431
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2020.106810
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-02935431
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bhambhwani, Siddharth M., 2022. "Disruption and stock markets: Evidence from Hong Kong," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    2. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Climate risks and U.S. stock‐market tail risks: A forecasting experiment using over a century of data," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 228-244, June.
    3. Dong, Xiyong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2023. "Effect of weather and environmental attentions on financial system risks: Evidence from Chinese high- and low-carbon assets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    4. Peillex, Jonathan, 2023. "Réaction des investisseurs à la création de fonds éthiques [Investor reaction to the creation of ethical funds]," MPRA Paper 118930, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Waldemar Tarczyński & Sebastian Majewski & Małgorzata Tarczyńska-Łuniewska & Agnieszka Majewska & Grzegorz Mentel, 2021. "The Impact of Weather Factors on Quotations of Energy Sector Companies on Warsaw Stock Exchange," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-14, March.
    6. Yan, Yumeng & Xiong, Xiong & Li, Shuo & Lu, Lei, 2022. "Will temperature change reduce stock returns? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    behavioral finance; global warming; high temperatures; market activity; trading volume;
    All these keywords.

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