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French Arms Exports and Intrastate Conflicts: An Empirical Investigation

Author

Listed:
  • Cécile Fauconnet

    (UEA - Unité d'Économie Appliquée - ENSTA Paris - École Nationale Supérieure de Techniques Avancées - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris)

  • Julien Malizard

    (UMR ART-Dev - Acteurs, Ressources et Territoires dans le Développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - UPVM - Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 - UPVD - Université de Perpignan Via Domitia - UM - Université de Montpellier - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Antoine Pietri

Abstract

The aim of this article is to evaluate how French Major Conventional Weapons (MCW) exports impact on the conflict intensity of recipient countries. The recent increase in French arms exports seems to contradict the French political discourse on the promotion of regional stability. We run zero-inflated ordered probit model in order to analyze the role of the arms trade on the intensity of civil conflicts in 144 countries from 1992 to 2014, using SIPRI and UCDP/PRIO data. Our results suggest that French MCW exports tended not to exacerbate intrastate conflicts during this period. This finding is robust to changes in the empirical framework. We propose two lines of explanations: France seems to be prone to choosing partners that respect human rights and selling more ‘defense-oriented’ MCW than the rest of the world.
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Suggested Citation

  • Cécile Fauconnet & Julien Malizard & Antoine Pietri, 2019. "French Arms Exports and Intrastate Conflicts: An Empirical Investigation," Post-Print hal-02134222, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02134222
    DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2018.1488371
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    Cited by:

    1. Emma Soubrier, 2023. "Unpacking the storytelling around French arms sales: Demystifying the “strategic autonomy” argument," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 14(1), pages 112-120, February.

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