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Liquidity, information, strategic trading in an electronic order book: New insights from the European carbon markets

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  • Yves Rannou

    (CleRMa - Clermont Recherche Management - ESC Clermont-Ferrand - École Supérieure de Commerce (ESC) - Clermont-Ferrand - UCA [2017-2020] - Université Clermont Auvergne [2017-2020])

Abstract

The electronic limit order book (LOB hereafter) has rapidly become the primary way of trading European carbon assets over the 4 years of the EU ETS programme (2008–2012). In this first attempt of examining the informational content of an electronic order book, we evidence that order flow imbalances have a moderate capacity to predict short term price changes. However, we find that both LOB slope and immediacy costs help to forecast quote improvements and volatility in the next 30min. Further, we explain why informed trading is highly influential and show that it consists in mixing order splitting strategies and posting fleeting orders once the asymmetric information is reduced (Rosu, 2009). Overall, the consolidated status of the order book mirrors a high level of market uncertainty and a low degree of informational efficiency. In this way, strategic trading can in itself explain some of order book properties, independently of the degree of traders’ sophistication and market competition.
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Suggested Citation

  • Yves Rannou, 2017. "Liquidity, information, strategic trading in an electronic order book: New insights from the European carbon markets," Post-Print hal-01650533, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01650533
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2014.09.008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Zhou, Xinxing & Gao, Yan & Wang, Ping & Zhu, Bangzhu & Wu, Zhanchi, 2022. "Does herding behavior exist in China's carbon markets?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    2. Wang, Kai-Hua & Liu, Lu & Zhong, Yifan & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and carbon emission trading market: A China's perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Będowska-Sójka, Barbara, 2020. "Do aggressive orders affect liquidity? An evidence from an emerging market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Ben Omrane, Walid & Tao, Yusi & Welch, Robert, 2017. "Scheduled macro-news effects on a Euro/US dollar limit order book around the 2008 financial crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 9-30.
    5. Chai, Shanglei & Yang, Xiaoli & Zhang, Zhen & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian, 2022. "Regional imbalances of market efficiency in China’s pilot emission trading schemes (ETS): A multifractal perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. Massimiliano Caporin & Fulvio Fontini & Samuele Segato, 2021. "Has the EU-ETS Financed the Energy Transition of the Italian Power System?," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-15, December.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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