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Flux internationaux d'aide à la santé, taux de mortalité adulte et PIB. Le "triangle d'or" du développement ?

Author

Listed:
  • Bruno Ventelou

    (SESSTIM - U912 INSERM - Aix Marseille Univ - IRD - Sciences Economiques et Sociales de la Santé & Traitement de l'Information Médicale - IRD - Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - INSERM - Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Muhammad Asim Afridi
  • Jean-Paul Moatti

    (SESSTIM - U912 INSERM - Aix Marseille Univ - IRD - Sciences Economiques et Sociales de la Santé & Traitement de l'Information Médicale - IRD - Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - INSERM - Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, ORS PACA, AMU - Aix Marseille Université)

Abstract

The study examines the triangular relationship between adult mortality, per capita income and foreign aid. Data are taken from the 'Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation'. We have included 37 low-income (LIC), 39 lower middle-income (LMIC), and 20 upper middle income (UMIC) for the period 1990-2008. The study starts from the idea that the statistical relationship between series of foreign aid and population health may be bidirectional, adding a new stage of complexity for testing the impact of a third variable : GDP, which could also predetermine the levels of aid granted. The Granger causality test is the most effective and practical way to determine the direction of the causalities. Although less effective for particular groups of countries (UMIC), foreign aid generally has a negative impact on mortality, as reported by tests taking into account directional causalities (70 % of valid coefficients are negative). This result moderates the pessimistic view of international development aid, at least in the domain of assistance for health.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruno Ventelou & Muhammad Asim Afridi & Jean-Paul Moatti, 2013. "Flux internationaux d'aide à la santé, taux de mortalité adulte et PIB. Le "triangle d'or" du développement ?," Post-Print hal-01500854, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01500854
    DOI: 10.3917/rtm.215.0093
    as

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