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Crise de la zone euro, intégration financière et rationnement bancaire

Author

Listed:
  • Jacques Mazier

    (CEPN - Centre d'Economie de l'Université Paris Nord - UP13 - Université Paris 13 - USPC - Université Sorbonne Paris Cité - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Vincent Duwicquet

    (CLERSÉ - Centre Lillois d’Études et de Recherches Sociologiques et Économiques - UMR 8019 - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

À l'aide d'un modèle « stock flux consistent » (sfc), nous étudions la portée du financement bancaire intra-zone en matière de crédit et d'achat de titres publics. Plusieurs résultats se dégagent. Le recours au crédit intra-zone n'a aucun rôle de stabilisation spécifique dans le cas où la banque centrale est prêteur en dernier ressort. Concernant le financement des États, nous introduisons dans le modèle la possibilité d'un rationnement bancaire par les taux d'intérêt sur les titres publics. La hausse des taux contribue à un ralentissement cumulatif. Dans ce contexte, le recours au financement intra-zone (mécanisme européen de stabilité, financement bancaire ou intervention de la banque centrale) peut jouer un rôle de stabilisation, à condition qu'il ne s'accompagne pas de plans d'austérité budgétaire. Ces résultats illustrent les mécanismes à l'œuvre dans la crise des pays du Sud de l'Europe.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacques Mazier & Vincent Duwicquet, 2015. "Crise de la zone euro, intégration financière et rationnement bancaire," Post-Print hal-01367462, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01367462
    DOI: 10.3917/reco.pr2.0047
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    Cited by:

    1. Gimet, Céline & Lagoarde-Segot, Thomas & Reyes-Ortiz, Luis, 2019. "Financialization and the macroeconomy. Theory and empirical evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 89-110.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    euro; rationnement; ajustements; asymétries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory

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