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Les PECO resistent

Author

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  • Marion Cochard

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

Après une année 2012 en fort ralentissement, les pays d'Europe centrale et orientale ont connu un léger rebond de croissance au premier semestre 2013. Dans le sillage de la zone euro, de l'Allemagne en particulier, les économies de la zone bénéficient d'un regain de demande de l'extérieur et multiplient les signes de reprise. L'amélioration des perspectives de la zone euro à l'horizon de la prévision, de même qu'un assouplissement de la politique budgétaire, devraient sortir progressivement la zone de l'ornière au cours de l'année 2013. Le véritable rebond de croissance devrait se faire sentir à partir de 2014, avec une croissance économique moyenne de la zone à 2,4 %, contre 0,9 % en 2013. L'économie russe, quant à elle, voit sa croissance ralentir depuis la mi-2012, entravée par un risque de surchauffe. Compte tenu de nos prévisions de prix des matières premières, les perspectives de croissance de la Russie baissent à 2,9 % pour 2014 (...).

Suggested Citation

  • Marion Cochard, 2013. "Les PECO resistent," Post-Print hal-01025090, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01025090
    DOI: 10.3917/reof.130.0187
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-01025090
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