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L'intégration commerciale est-elle une condition préalable à l'intégration financière ?

Author

Listed:
  • Adeline Bachellerie

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jérôme Héricourt

    (EQUIPPE - Economie Quantitative, Intégration, Politiques Publiques et Econométrie - Université de Lille, Sciences et Technologies - Université de Lille, Sciences Humaines et Sociales - PRES Université Lille Nord de France - Université de Lille, Droit et Santé)

  • Valérie Mignon

    (CEPII - Centre d'études prospectives et d'informations internationales)

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a joint study of trade and financial integration by relying on the Balassa's [1961] classification, from preferential trading area to complete economic integration. To this end, we consider two approaches based on the behaviour of interest rates: the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates and real interest rate parity. Relying on cointegration techniques accounting for potential breaks, these two conditions are empirically investigated on various regional trade agreements. Our results show that customs unions, corresponding to step 3 of the Balassa's classification, seem to be a decisive threshold after which financial integration robustly takes place.

Suggested Citation

  • Adeline Bachellerie & Jérôme Héricourt & Valérie Mignon, 2010. "L'intégration commerciale est-elle une condition préalable à l'intégration financière ?," Post-Print hal-00649944, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00649944
    DOI: 10.3917/reco.613.0477
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Jinzhao & Quang, Thérèse, 2014. "The impact of international financial integration on economic growth: New evidence on threshold effects," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 475-489.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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