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Forecast Output Coincidence and Biproportion: Two Criteria to Determine the Orientation of an Economy. Comparison for France (1980-1997)

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  • Louis de Mesnard

    (LEG - Laboratoire d'Economie et de Gestion - UB - Université de Bourgogne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

The method of forecast output coincidence used to determine if sectors are demand-sided or supply-sided in an input-output framework mixes two effects, the structural effect (choosing between demand and supply side models) and the effect of an exogenous factor (final demand or added-value). The note recalls that another method is possible, the comparison of the stability of technical and allocation coefficients, generalized by the biproportional filter: if for a sector, after biproportional filtering, column coefficients are more stable than row coefficients, then this sector is declared as not supply-sided (but one cannot decide that it is demand-sided anyway), and conversely.

Suggested Citation

  • Louis de Mesnard, 2002. "Forecast Output Coincidence and Biproportion: Two Criteria to Determine the Orientation of an Economy. Comparison for France (1980-1997)," Post-Print hal-00383929, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00383929
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    1. Louis de Mesnard, 1990. "Dynamique de la structure industrielle française," Post-Print hal-00383966, HAL.
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    Cited by:

    1. J. Joseph Beaulieu & Eric J. Bartelsman, 2006. "Integrating Expenditure and Income Data: What to Do with the Statistical Discrepancy?," NBER Chapters, in: A New Architecture for the US National Accounts, pages 309-354, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Louis De Mesnard, 2009. "Is The Ghosh Model Interesting?," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(2), pages 361-372, May.

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    1. André Torre, 1993. "Sur la signification théorique du modèle d'offre multisectoriel," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 44(5), pages 951-970.
    2. Louis de Mesnard, 2006. "Measuring structural change in the I‐O production function by biproportional methods: A theorem of price invariance," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 85(3), pages 459-469, August.
    3. Louis De Mesnard, 2009. "Is The Ghosh Model Interesting?," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(2), pages 361-372, May.

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