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Rebond de la fécondité dans les pays développés, automatisme ou apanage de quelques rares privilégiés ?

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  • Angela Greulich

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

The reversal of the fertility trend, also called ?fertility-rebound?, that comes along with the process of economic development in some but not in all developed countries shows that the impact of economic development on fertility is ambiguous. Whether this impact is positive or negative depends on many factors, over and above the economic dimension. As fertility affects population growth and the age structure of the population, changes in fertility in the immediate future have far-reaching consequences on economic development, productivity growth and aspects of welfare systems. It is therefore of major political, social and economic interest to know whether further economic advancement is likely to provoke a rebound of fertility in highly developed countries. This article sheds light on the potential drivers of fertility in highly developed countries. By establishing a state of the art of the empirical literature on this subject, the article answers the question if and under what circumstances the phenomenon of a ?fertility rebound? is likely to become a stylized fact in developed countries in the near future. Classification JEL: J11, J13, J16, O11.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Angela Greulich, 2016. "Rebond de la fécondité dans les pays développés, automatisme ou apanage de quelques rares privilégiés ?," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-01370264, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-01370264
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    Keywords

    fécondité; comparaison internationale; emploi des femmes; politiques familiales;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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