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A Stylized Energy-Economy Model for France

Author

Listed:
  • Fanny Henriet

    (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Nicolas Maggiar

    (Banque de france - Banque de France)

  • Katheline Schubert

    (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

We build, calibrate and simulate a stylized energy-economy model designed to evaluate the magnitude of carbon tax that would allow the French economy to reduce by a factor of four its CO2 emissions at a forty-year horizon. We estimate the substitution possibilities between fossil energy and other factors for households and firms. We build two versions of the model, the first with exogenous technical progress, and the second with an endogenization of the direction of technical progress. We show that if the energy-saving technical progress rate remains at its recent historical value, the magnitude of the carbon tax is quite unrealistic. When the direction of technical progress responds endogenously to economic incentives, CO2 emissions can be reduced by more than that allowed by the substitution possibilities, but not by a factor of four. To achieve this, an additional instrument is needed, namely a subsidy to fossil energy-saving research. The redirection of technical progress, which is a driver of energy transition, comes at a small cost in terms of the overall growth rate of the economy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Suggested Citation

  • Fanny Henriet & Nicolas Maggiar & Katheline Schubert, 2014. "A Stylized Energy-Economy Model for France," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00904241, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-00904241
    DOI: 10.5547/01956574.35.4.1
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    Cited by:

    1. Pascal da Costa & Wenhui Tian, 2015. "A Sectoral Prospective Analysis of CO2 Emissions in China, USA and France, 2010-2050," Working Papers hal-01026302, HAL.
    2. Fanny Henriet & Nicolas Maggiar & Katheline Schubert, 2016. "La France peut-elle atteindre l’objectif du Facteur 4 ? Une évaluation à l’aide d’un modèle stylisé énergie-économie," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(1), pages 1-21.
    3. Antoine Devulder & Noëmie Lisack, 2020. "Carbon Tax in a Production Network: Propagation and Sectoral Incidence," Working papers 760, Banque de France.

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