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Market efficiency in the ASEAN region: Evidence from multivariate and cointegration tests

Author

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  • Guidi, Francesco
  • Gupta, Rakesh

Abstract

The aim of this article is to investigate the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations’ (ASEAN) stock markets for the period from January 2000 to April 2011. We test whether these markets are efficient individually and collectively using a number of statistical tests. We reject the EMH for the stock markets of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam. We find stock markets in Singapore and Thailand weak form efficient. We also find that collectively these markets do not follow the same trend; this means that prices from one market are not predictable in terms of information in another.

Suggested Citation

  • Guidi, Francesco & Gupta, Rakesh, 2012. "Market efficiency in the ASEAN region: Evidence from multivariate and cointegration tests," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 8791, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:gpe:wpaper:8791
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    Cited by:

    1. Pick-Soon Ling & Ruzita Abdul-Rahim, 2017. "Market Efficiency Based on Unconventional Technical Trading Strategies in Malaysian Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 88-96.
    2. Md. Saifur Rahman & Farihana Shahari, 2019. "Does the Financial Integration in ASEAN+3 Respond to Financial Cooperation Agreement and Influence the Real Sectors?," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(01), pages 1-18, March.
    3. Jamaani, Fouad & Roca, Eduardo, 2015. "Are the regional Gulf stock markets weak-form efficient as single stock markets and as a regional stock market?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 221-246.
    4. Md. Saifur Rahman & Farihana Shahari, 2020. "Economic Integration And Investment Opportunities: A Study On Asean+3 Countries," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 25, pages 69-91, June.
    5. Chun-Teck Lye & Tuan-Hock Ng & Kwee-Pheng Lim & Chin-Yee Gan, 2020. "Investor protection and market reaction to unusual market activity replies," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(8), pages 2034-2069, July.
    6. Roy, Archi & Soni, Anchal & Deb, Soudeep, 2023. "A wavelet-based methodology to compare the impact of pandemic versus Russia–Ukraine conflict on crude oil sector and its interconnectedness with other energy and non-energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    7. Panha Heng & Scott J. Niblock, 2014. "Trading with Tigers: A Technical Analysis of Southeast Asian Stock Index Futures," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 679-692, December.
    8. Rahman, Md. Saifur & Shahari, Farihana, 2017. "The nexus between financial integration and real economy: Solow-growth model concept," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1244-1253.
    9. Md. Saifur Rahman & Farihana Shahari, 2021. "Does the financial cooperation agreement increase the interdependency among ASEAN+3 equity markets? A Markov switching approach," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 869-899, October.

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