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Estimating health worker need to provide antiretroviral treatment in the developing world

Author

Listed:
  • Till Bärnighausen

    (Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies, University of KwaZulu-Natal)

  • David E. Bloom

    (Harvard School of Public Health)

  • Salal Humair

    (School of Science and Engineering, Lahore University of Management Sciences, Pakistan)

Abstract

Despite recent international efforts to increase antiretroviral treatment (ART) coverage, more than 5 million people who need ART in developing countries do not receive such treatment. Shortages of human resources to treat HIV/AIDS (referred to herein as HRHA) are one of the main constraints to further scaling up ART. Planning expansion of ART depends on the ability to predict how many HRHA will be needed in the future. We investigate whether taking into account positive feedback from the current supply of HRHA to future HRHA need substantially alters predictions. This feedback occurs because an increase in the number of HRHA implies an increase in the number of individuals receiving ART and – because ART is a lifelong treatment and is effective in prolonging the lives of HIV-positive people – a rise over time in the number of people requiring ART.

Suggested Citation

  • Till Bärnighausen & David E. Bloom & Salal Humair, 2008. "Estimating health worker need to provide antiretroviral treatment in the developing world," PGDA Working Papers 3808, Program on the Global Demography of Aging.
    • Handle: RePEc:gdm:wpaper:3808
    as

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    File URL: http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/pgda/WorkingPapers/2008/PGDA_WP_38.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bärnighausen, Till & Bloom, David E., 2009. ""Conditional scholarships" for HIV/AIDS health workers: Educating and retaining the workforce to provide antiretroviral treatment in sub-Saharan Africa," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 68(3), pages 544-551, February.
    2. Till Bärnighausen & David E. Bloom, 2008. "Financial incentives for return of service in underserved areas: a systematic review," PGDA Working Papers 3608, Program on the Global Demography of Aging.
    3. Gorik Ooms & Wim Van Damme & Marleen Temmerman, 2007. "Medicines without Doctors: Why the Global Fund Must Fund Salaries of Health Workers to Expand AIDS Treatment," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(4), pages 1-4, April.
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    Keywords

    Disease; control; global health; HIV/AIDS; Africa.;
    All these keywords.

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