IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/fpr/ifprwp/168708.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

External and internal migration propensity index (MPI) for Honduras: Out-of-sample validation

Author

Listed:
  • Ceballos, Francisco
  • Hernandez, Alvaro Espinoza
  • Hernandez, Manuel A.

Abstract

The e-MPI and the i-MPI are tools to objectively estimate the probability that individuals from a given household will, respectively, migrate abroad or migrate domestically in the near future. We use new longitudinal data to test their effectiveness fully out of sample. We find good predictive power of each of these indices in terms of the respective type of migration they attempt to anticipate. Moreover, they perform well against alternative measures, work reasonably well for both rural and urban areas and in departments not included in the original calibration data, and appear to capture distinct aspects around households’ decisions to migrate domestically and abroad. Overall, the MPI seems to be an important addition to policymakers’ toolkit.

Suggested Citation

  • Ceballos, Francisco & Hernandez, Alvaro Espinoza & Hernandez, Manuel A., 2024. "External and internal migration propensity index (MPI) for Honduras: Out-of-sample validation," IFPRI working papers 168708, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    • Handle: RePEc:fpr:ifprwp:168708
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/bitstreams/4ec75eef-52f0-464f-a9c7-ccadf3fc58e6/download
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    migration; rural areas; urban areas; Honduras; Americas; Central America;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fpr:ifprwp:168708. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifprius.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.