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Working Paper 01-18 - Perspectives démographiques 2016-2060 : analyses de sensibilité, scénarios alternatifs et effets budgétaires et sociaux
[Working Paper 01-18 - Demografische vooruitzichten 2016-2060 : gevoeligheidsanalyses, alternatieve scenario’s en budgettaire en sociale impact]

Author

Listed:
  • Johan Duyck
  • Jean-Marc Paul
  • Marie Vandresse

Abstract

This Working Paper analyses various alternative population projections. The first approach shows the impact of alternative future development scenarios for the population growth components. The effects of some of these scenarios on the development in social expenditure and the at-risk-of-poverty rate for pensioners are also analysed. The second approach consists in carrying out a sensitivity analysis of the population projection to some model parameters, in particular the observation periods selected to estimate trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Johan Duyck & Jean-Marc Paul & Marie Vandresse, 2018. "Working Paper 01-18 - Perspectives démographiques 2016-2060 : analyses de sensibilité, scénarios alternatifs et effets budgétaires et sociaux [Working Paper 01-18 - Demografische vooruitzichten," Working Papers 201801, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
    • Handle: RePEc:fpb:wpaper:201801
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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