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Income Growth Outpaces Household Borrowing

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Abstract

U.S. household debt balances grew by $147 billion (0.8 percent) over the third quarter, according to the latest Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit from the New York Fed’s Center for Microeconomic Data. Balances on all loan products recorded moderate increases, led by mortgages (up $75 billion), credit cards (up $24 billion), and auto loans (up $18 billion). Meanwhile, delinquency rates have also risen over the past two years, returning to roughly pre-pandemic levels (and exceeding them in the case of credit cards and auto loans), though there are some signs of stabilization this quarter. Are rising aggregate debt burdens sustainable? Or is this expansion to be expected given increases in aggregate income and population size? In this post, we take a look at debt balances scaled by income, tracking the evolution of this ratio over the past twenty-five years.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Daniel Mangrum & Joelle Scally & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2024. "Income Growth Outpaces Household Borrowing," Liberty Street Economics 20241113, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:99097
    Note: The Quarterly Report and this analysis are based on the New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel (CCP), drawn from Equifax credit reports.
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    Keywords

    household finance;

    JEL classification:

    • G5 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance

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