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On the Distributional Consequences of Responding Aggressively to Inflation

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Abstract

This post discusses the distributional consequences of an aggressive policy response to inflation using a Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian (HANK) model. We find that, when facing demand shocks, stabilizing inflation and real activity go hand in hand, with very large benefits for households at the bottom of the wealth distribution. The converse is true however when facing supply shocks: stabilizing inflation makes real outcomes more volatile, especially for poorer households. We conclude that distributional considerations make it much more important for policy to take into account the tradeoffs between stabilizing inflation and economic activity. This is because the optimal policy response depends very strongly on whether these tradeoffs are present (that is, when the economy is facing supply shocks) or absent (when the economy is facing demand shocks).

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Del Negro & Keshav Dogra & Pranay Gundam & Donggyu Lee & Brian Pacula, 2024. "On the Distributional Consequences of Responding Aggressively to Inflation," Liberty Street Economics 20240703, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:98472
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    HANK model; heterogeneous-agent New Keynesian (HANK); monetary policy; inflation; inequality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution

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