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The New York Fed DSGE Model Forecast— September 2023

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Abstract

This post presents an update of the economic forecasts generated by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. We describe very briefly our forecast and its change since June 2023. As usual, we wish to remind our readers that the DSGE model forecast is not an official New York Fed forecast, but only an input to the Research staff’s overall forecasting process. For more information about the model and variables discussed here, see our DSGE model Q & A.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Del Negro & Pranay Gundam & Donggyu Lee & Ramya Nallamotu & Brian Pacula, 2023. "The New York Fed DSGE Model Forecast— September 2023," Liberty Street Economics 20230922, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:96879
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    File URL: https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2023/09/the-new-york-fed-dsge-model-forecast-september-2023/
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    Cited by:

    1. Zarazúa Juárez, Carlos Alberto, 2023. "Understanding the natural rate of interest for a small open economy," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(3).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models; forecasting;

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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