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A New Perspective on Low Interest Rates

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Abstract

Interest rates in the United States have remained at historically low levels for many years. This series of posts explores the forces behind the persistence of low rates. We briefly discuss some of the explanations advanced in the academic literature, and propose an alternative hypothesis that centers on the premium associated with safe and liquid assets. Our argument, outlined in a paper we presented at the Brookings Conference on Economic Activity last March, suggests that the increase in this premium since the late 1990s has been a key driver of the decline in the real return on U.S. Treasury securities.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "A New Perspective on Low Interest Rates," Liberty Street Economics 20180205, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:87238
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    liquidity; convenience yields; safety; r star;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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