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The Macro Effects of the Recent Swing in Financial Conditions

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Abstract

Credit conditions tightened considerably in the second half of 2015 and U.S. growth slowed. We estimate the extent to which tighter credit conditions last year were responsible for the slowdown using the FRBNY DSGE model. We find that growth would have slowed substantially more had the Federal Reserve not delayed liftoff in the federal funds rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Del Negro & Marc Giannoni & Micah Smith, 2016. "The Macro Effects of the Recent Swing in Financial Conditions," Liberty Street Economics 20160525, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:87132
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    Cited by:

    1. Lael Brainard, 2016. "The Economic Outlook and Implications for Monetary Policy: a speech at the Council on Foreign Relations, Washington, D.C., June 3, 2016," Speech 899, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Lael Brainard, 2016. "The \"New Normal\" and What It Means for Monetary Policy : a speech at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, Chicago, Illinois, September 12, 2016," Speech 907, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    DSGE; Monetary Policy; Spreads; Financial Conditions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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