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North-South financial integration and business cycles

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  • Michael A. Kouparitsas

Abstract

This paper examines the business cycle implications of increased North-South trade in financial assets. We build a quantitative general equilibrium model of North-South trade and compare the model's predictions under two asset market assumptions: a restricted setting in which asset trade is limited to a non-contingent one-period bond market; and a highly integrated setting in which agents have access to a complete contingent-claims market. Simulations of the North-South model suggest that increased North-South trade in asset markets (a) lowers Southern consumption and output volatility, and (b) weakens North-South output and consumption correlations, at business cycle frequencies.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael A. Kouparitsas, 1996. "North-South financial integration and business cycles," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues WP-96-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhma:wp-96-10
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    Cited by:

    1. Hideaki Hirata & Sunghyun Henry Kim & M. Ayhan Kose, 2007. "Sources of Fluctuations: The Case of MENA," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(1), pages 5-34, February.
    2. Winston Moore, 2014. "Managing The Process Of Removing Capital Controls: What Does The Literature Suggest?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 209-237, April.
    3. Buch, Claudia M., 2002. "Business Cycle Volatility and Globalization: A Survey," Kiel Working Papers 1107, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Oviedo, P. Marcelo & Singh, Rajesh, 2012. "Investment Composition and International Business Cycles," Staff General Research Papers Archive 35096, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    5. Benoît Carmichael & Sikoro Keita & Lucie Samson, 1999. "Liquidity Contraints and Business Cycles in Developing Economies," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 2(2), pages 370-402, April.
    6. Ambler, Steve & Cardia, Emanuela & Zimmermann, Christian, 2002. "International transmission of the business cycle in a multi-sector model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 273-300, February.
    7. Oviedo, P. Marcelo & Singh, Rajesh, 2008. "International Business Cycles with Mutliple Input Investment Technologies," Staff General Research Papers Archive 32800, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    8. Michael A. Kouparitsas, 1996. "North-South business cycles," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues WP-96-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

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    Keywords

    Business cycles; International trade;

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