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Is it true that insurers benefit from a catastrophic event? Market reactions to the 1995 Hanshin-Awaji earthquake

Author

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  • Takeshi Kobayashi
  • Nobuyoshi Yamori

Abstract

Previous studies, investigating how the market in general viewed the impact of a big earthquake (e.g., the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Area) on insurance firm values, found a positive reaction of insurers' stock prices. This \"gaining from loss\" may be caused by the subsequent increased demand for insurance coverage. This paper investigates the impact of the 1995 Hanshin-Awaji earthquake on Japanese insurers' value. Contrary to the results for U.S. earthquakes, we find significant negative stock price reactions. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that Japanese stock markets are considerably efficient in assessing the new information generated by the Hanshin-Awaji earthquake. Finally, we also find a negative relationship between stock price reaction and the extent to which an insurer wrote earthquake coverage in the damaged area.

Suggested Citation

  • Takeshi Kobayashi & Nobuyoshi Yamori, 1999. "Is it true that insurers benefit from a catastrophic event? Market reactions to the 1995 Hanshin-Awaji earthquake," Pacific Basin Working Paper Series 99-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfpb:99-04
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    Cited by:

    1. Kleidt Benjamin & Schiereck Dirk & Sigl-Grueb Christof, 2009. "Rationality at the Eve of Destruction: Insurance Stocks and Huge Catastrophic Events," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 1-27, April.
    2. Yang, Chih-Yuan & Jhang, Ling-Jhen & Chang, Chia-Chien, 2016. "Do investor sentiment, weather and catastrophe effects improve hedging performance? Evidence from the Taiwan options market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 35-51.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Insurance industry; Japan;

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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