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Can Trend Inflation Solve the Delayed Overshooting Puzzle?

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  • Dudley Cooke
  • Engin Kara

Abstract

We develop an open economy New Keynesian model with heterogeneity in price stickiness and positive trend inflation. The main insight of our analysis is that, in the presence of heterogeneity in price stickiness, there is a strong link between trend inflation and the timing of the peak response of the real exchange rate to a monetary policy shock. Without trend inflation, the real exchange rate peaks almost immediately. With trend inflation set at historical values, the peak occurs at around 2 years. Delayed overshooting is a consequence of the interaction between heterogeneity in price stickiness and trend inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Dudley Cooke & Engin Kara, 2018. "Can Trend Inflation Solve the Delayed Overshooting Puzzle?," Globalization Institute Working Papers 334, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:feddgw:334
    DOI: 10.24149/gwp334
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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