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Parsing Out the Sources of Inflation

Author

Abstract

The authors have developed a statistical model that breaks down total Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation into underlying supply and demand factors, enabling quantification of those sources of price pressures as they arise.

Suggested Citation

  • Danilo Leiva-León & Viacheslav Sheremirov & Jenny Tang & Egon Zakrajšek, 2025. "Parsing Out the Sources of Inflation," Current Policy Perspectives 25-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedbcq:99736
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation; goods; services; supply; demand; factor models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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