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Is China a Northern Partner to Mercosul?

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  • Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão
  • Watanuki, Masakazu

Abstract

We contrast Free Trade Areas involving Mercosul and the EU25, the US and China, respectively, using a new CGE model and associated database. Roughly, the China FTA lies halfway the other two, a bias towards the US pattern being suggested. When considering China a new Northern partner, protective deals don’t seem advisable. China’s advantages should prevail when facing the US or the EU: its need of capital goods, for instance, may open profitable cross-exchanges. China’s emergence can be a positive factor, if placed in an enlarged policy space where, together with its Asian neighbours, it counter-balances the US-EU polarity.

Suggested Citation

  • Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão & Watanuki, Masakazu, 2006. "Is China a Northern Partner to Mercosul?," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 617, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgewp:617
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Lima, Luiz Renato & Néri, Breno Pinheiro, 2007. "Comparing Value-at-Risk Methodologies," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 27(1), May.
    2. Renato G. Flôres & Maria Paula Fontoura & Rogério Guerra Santos, 2007. "Foreign Direct Investment Spillovers in Portugal: Additional Lessons from a Country Study," The European Journal of Development Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 372-390.
    3. Cavalcanti, Ricardo de Oliveira & Wallace, Neil, 2006. "New models of old(?) payment questions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 619, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    4. Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão, 2006. "Dois ensaios sobre diversidade cultural e o comércio de serviços," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 622, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    5. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2006. "A stochastic discount factor approach to asset pricing using panel data," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 628, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    6. Zhijie Xiao & Luiz Renato Lima, 2007. "Testing Covariance Stationarity," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(6), pages 643-667.
    7. Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão, 2006. "The diversity of diversity: further methodological considerations on the use of the concept in cultural economics," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 626, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    8. Lima, Luiz Renato & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Sampaio, Raquel M.B., 2008. "Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: A quantile autoregression approach," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(2), pages 313-335, June.

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