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Demography, growth and robots in advanced and emerging economies

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  • Matteo Lanzafame

    (Asian Development Bank)

Abstract

This paper provides estimates of the impact of demographic change on labor productivity growth, relying on annual data over 1961-2018 for a panel f 90 advanced and emerging economies. We find that increases in both the young and old population shares have significantly negative effects on labor productivity growth, working via various channels – including physical and human capital accumulation. Splitting the analysis for advanced and emerging economies shows that population ageing has a greater effect on emerging economies than on advanced economies. Extending the benchmark model to include a proxy for the robotization of production, we find evidence indicating that automation reduces the negative effects unfavorable demographic change – in particular, population aging-on labor productivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Matteo Lanzafame, 2021. "Demography, growth and robots in advanced and emerging economies," Working Papers 2021.30, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    • Handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:2021.30
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    Cited by:

    1. Yin, Zi Hui & Zeng, Wei Ping, 2023. "The effects of industrial intelligence on China's energy intensity: The role of technology absorptive capacity," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demographic Change; Labor Productivity; Robots;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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