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Risk Management of Daily Tourist Tax Revenues for the Maldives

Author

Listed:
  • Michael McAleer

    (University of Western Australia)

  • Riaz Shareef

    (University of Western Australia)

  • Bernardo da Veiga

    (University of Western Australia)

Abstract

International tourism is the principal economic activity for Small Island Tourism Economies (SITEs). There is a strongly predictable component of international tourism, specifically the government revenue received from taxes on international tourists, but it is difficult to predict the number of international tourist arrivals which, in turn, determines the magnitude of tax revenue receipts. A framework is presented for risk management of daily tourist tax revenues for the Maldives, which is a unique SITE because it relies entirely on tourism for its economic and social development. As these receipts from international tourism are significant financial assets to the economies of SITEs, the time-varying volatility of international tourist arrivals and their growth rate is analogous to the volatility (or dynamic risk) in financial returns. In this paper, the volatility in the levels and growth rates of daily international tourist arrivals is investigated.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael McAleer & Riaz Shareef & Bernardo da Veiga, 2005. "Risk Management of Daily Tourist Tax Revenues for the Maldives," Working Papers 2005.137, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    • Handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:2005.137
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    Cited by:

    1. Gago, Alberto & Labandeira, Xavier & Picos, Fidel & Rodriguez, Miguel, 2006. "Taxing Tourism in Spain: Results and Recommendations," Climate Change Modelling and Policy Working Papers 12023, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    2. Guido Candela & Paolo Figini & Antonello E. Scorcu, 2005. "The Economics of Local Tourist Systems," Working Papers 2005.138, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    3. Paola De Agostini & Stefania Lovo & Francesco Pecci & Federico Perali & Michele Baggio, 2006. "Simulating the Impact on the Local Economy of Alternative Management Scenarios for Natural Areas," Chapters, in: Joseph Cooper & Federico Perali & Marcella Veronesi (ed.), Integrated Assessment and Management of Public Resources, chapter 6, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. Antonio Menezes & Ainura Uzagalieva, 2013. "The Demand of Car Rentals: a Microeconometric Approach with Count Models and Survey Data," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, vol. 5(1), pages 25-41, June.
    5. Juin‐Jen Chang & Lee‐Jung Lu & Shih‐Wen Hu, 2011. "Congestion Externalities of Tourism, Dutch Disease and Optimal Taxation: Macroeconomic Implications," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 87(276), pages 90-108, March.
    6. Jorge V Pérez-Rodríguez & María Santana-Gallego, 2020. "Modelling tourism receipts and associated risks, using long-range dependence models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(1), pages 70-96, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Small Island Tourism Economies (SITEs); International tourist arrivals; Tourism tax; Volatility; Risk; Value-at-Risk (VaR); Sustainable Tourism-@-Risk (ST@R);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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