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Una metodología para el seguimiento de la afiliación a la Seguridad Social durante la crisis del Covid-19

Author

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  • J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz
  • Manu García
  • Luis A. Puch
  • Jesús Ruiz

Abstract

En esta nota se actualiza el modelo estadístico de los flujos diarios de afiliación a la Seguridad Social desarrollado y estimado en Conde-Ruiz, García, Puch y Ruiz (SERIEs, 2019) y se estima también una variante del modelo que incorpora la demanda diaria de electricidad como variable explicativa. El primer modelo se utiliza para construir una serie contrafactual de afiliación “sin crisis” con la que comparar la serie observada para cuantificar el impacto de la crisis. El segundo se utiliza para realizar predicciones de la evolución de la afiliación en tiempo real teniendo en cuenta la evolución observada del consumo eléctrico.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz & Manu García & Luis A. Puch & Jesús Ruiz, 2020. "Una metodología para el seguimiento de la afiliación a la Seguridad Social durante la crisis del Covid-19," Fedea Economy Notes 2020-06, FEDEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:fda:fdafen:2020-06
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    1. J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz & Manu García & Luis A. Puch & Jesús Ruiz, 2019. "Calendar effects in daily aggregate employment creation and destruction in Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 10(1), pages 25-63, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Florentino Felgueroso & Angel de la Fuente & José E. Boscá & Rafael Doménech & Javier Ferri & Diego Rodríguez, 2020. "Aspectos económicos de la crisis del Covid‑19. Boletín de seguimiento no. 1," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2020-11, FEDEA.

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