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Impact of Terrorist Incidents on Tourism in Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia: A Dynamic Heterogeneous Panel Approache

Author

Listed:
  • Ugur Gok

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Opletalova 21, 110 00, Prague, Czech Republic)

  • Ikechukwu Nwaka

    (Department of Economics, Girne American University (GAU), North Cyprus, Turkey)

Abstract

Africa, the Middle East, and South Asian countries have been attracting the lowest number of tourists in recent decades and consequently, have the lowest share from the tourism industry. In this research paper, we investigated whether the aforementioned regions’ poor performance in the tourism industry is due to growing terrorism in the region. Our results indicate that terrorism plays a deterrent role in the tourist’s decision-making process for traveling to those countries. By using both the cross-sectional augmented distributed lag (CS-DL) and the cross-sectional ARDL (CS-ARDL) estimators, we found that there is a significant negative impact of terrorism on tourism.

Suggested Citation

  • Ugur Gok & Ikechukwu Nwaka, 2019. "Impact of Terrorist Incidents on Tourism in Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia: A Dynamic Heterogeneous Panel Approache," Working Papers IES 2019/38, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2019.
  • Handle: RePEc:fau:wpaper:wp2019_38
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    File URL: https://ies.fsv.cuni.cz/en/veda-vyzkum/working-papers/6197
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    tourism; terrorism; CS-ARDL; CS-DL; cross-sectional dependence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism

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