Türkiye’de Biyo-Etanol Kullanım Hedeflerinin Sektörel ve Bölüşüm Etkileri
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Note: [English Title] Sectoral and Distributional Impacts of Bio-Ethanol Use Targets in Turkey [English Abstract] Recent regulations of the Energy Market Regulatory Authority in Turkey has imposed the bio-ethanol -produced from domestic agricultural production- content of driving fuel to be at least %2 and %3 respectively in 2013 and 2014. In addition, this rate is targeted to be %10 in 2020 for the member countries of the European Union and Turkey is supposed to apply this if she became a member in the EU. These targets regarding bio-ethanol use are expected to affect agricultural product markets, food security, factor markets and household incomes significantly. In this study, a two-stage quantitative methodology is employed to analyze the impact of alternative scenarios. At the first stage, a multi-country, multi commodity, bilateral agricultural trade model (Mediterranean World Trade Model) which provides a dynamic solution in partial equilibrium framework and that covers raw materials of bio-ethanol such as wheat, maize and sugar beet is used. This model solves for the world price of raw materials under alternative scenarios and provides domestic prices and quantities. At the second stage, the outputs of Mediterranean World Trade Model are used as inputs in agricultural focused social accounting matrix. By using the price and income multipliers of this matrix, impacts on factor markets and household income level are derived. The study provides a framework to evaluate in a wider perspective the multi-dimensional effects of planned policy changes. In addition, the study also offers an empirically and methodologically strong tool for policy makers to analyze alternative scenarios. [English Keywords] Bio-ethanol, partial equilibrium, agricultural trade model, social accounting matrix
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Keywords
Biyo-etanol; Kısmi denge; Tarım ticaret modeli; Sosyal hesaplar matrisi;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
- Q16 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - R&D; Agricultural Technology; Biofuels; Agricultural Extension Services
- Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-ARA-2014-08-25 (MENA - Middle East and North Africa)
- NEP-CWA-2014-08-25 (Central and Western Asia)
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