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Türkiye’de 2008 Krizinin Eksik İstihdama Etkileri

Author

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  • Acun, Serdar

    (Tunceli University, Tunceli, TurkeyAuthor-Name: Güneş, Bayram
    Tunceli University, Tunceli, Turkey)

Abstract

Bu çalışmada ekonomik krizin Türkiye’de istihdam piyasasını nasıl etkilediği incelenmiştir. Öncelikli amacımız, 2007 yılında patlak veren küresel ekonomik krizin Türkiye’de özellikle 2007-2011 yılları arasında eksik istihdamı nasıl etkilediğini ortaya koymaktır.2004 yılından itibaren istihdama ilişkin bazı göstergelerde iyileşme görülen Türkiye istihdam piyasasında krizin ardından bazı yapısal değişiklikler yaşanmıştır. Özelikle işsizlik ve yarı zamanlı çalışma göstergelerinde görece hızlı sayılabilecek bir bozulma gözlemlenmiştir. Çalışmanın ampirik bölümünde lojistik regresyon modeli kullanılmıştır. Lojistik regresyon ya da logit modeli ikili bağımlı değişken için tasarlanmış doğrusal olmayan regresyon modelidir. Çalışmada lojistik regresyon uygulamasıyla Türkiye’de eksik istihdamı nelerin belirlediği incelenmeye çalışılmıştır. Veri seti olarak 2007-2011 yılları arasında Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu’nun hazırladığı hanehalkı iş gücü anketleri mikro veri setleri kullanılmıştır. Çalışma sonucunda kadınların erkeklere göre daha az eksik istihdamda olduğu, sosyal güvenliğin eksik istihdamı önleyici bir noktada durduğu, yaş ile eksik istihdam arasında ters U şeklinde ilişkinin varlığı, krizle birlikte eksik istihdamın arttığı gibi sonuçlar elde edilmiştir.

Suggested Citation

  • Acun, Serdar, 2013. "Türkiye’de 2008 Krizinin Eksik İstihdama Etkileri," EY International Congress on Economics I (EYC2013), October 24-25, 2013, Ankara, Turkey 279, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:eyd:cp2013:279
    Note: [English Title] The Impact of the 2008 Economic Crisis on Underemployment in Turkey [English Abstract] This study is concerned about how the economic crisis influenced employment market in Turkey. The aim is to examine the outlook of the crisis as combined with underemployment. Special attention has been given to how underemployment was influenced between 2007 and 2011. The study has also observed structural changes in the employment market in Turkey. Since 2004 some indicators of the employment market started to improve but it was left to fluctuation after the crisis. Especially unemployment and part-time work have increased rapidly. The last section of the study uses a logistic regression model. Logistic regression or logit model is a non-linear regression model designed for two dependent variables. We have tried to find out what determines underemployment in Turkey. The data set of the study are the household labor force surveys for the years from 2007 to 2011, prepared by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜİK). The preliminary findings of our empirical study are such that women are less underemployed than men, that social security helps prevent undeemployment, that the correlation between age and underemployment is shaped like a reverse U, and that underemployment increased together with the crisis. [English Keywords] Employment, Crisis, Underemployment, Logistic Regression
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    İstihdam; Kriz; Eksik İstihdam; Lojistik Regresyon;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions

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