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Dissecting the trade effects of Europe’s economic integration agreements

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  • Sophie Soete
  • Jan Van Hove

Abstract

This paper is the first to systematically study the trade effects of economic integration agreements (EIAs) between the European Union - the driving force behind the recent explosion of EIAs - and third countries. We quantify ex post the effects of these agreements through a gravity model using panel data on aggregate imports and exports for the period 1988-2011. We extend the literature in several ways. First, we include leads and lags to control for medium and long term anticipatory and reaction effects of EIAs. Both effects appear to be important to capture the true impact of EIAs. Second, we extensively analyze potential heterogeneous effects of various EIAs. We find that EIAs have very heterogeneous effects on trade flows. Third, we also estimate the effects of EIAs on trade flows separately for each European country. Contrary to our expectations, we find that EIAs have a rather homogeneous impact on the 27 European countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Sophie Soete & Jan Van Hove, 2014. "Dissecting the trade effects of Europe’s economic integration agreements," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven 490242, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
    • Handle: RePEc:ete:ceswps:490242
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    Cited by:

    1. Luis Marcelo Florensa & Laura Márquez-Ramos & María Luisa Recalde & María Victoria Barone, 2014. "Does economic integration increase trade margins? Empirical evidence from LAIAs countries," Working Papers 2014/05, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    2. Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan, 2020. "Energy Trade and Economic Integration between the Commonwealth Independent States and China," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 35(1), pages 172-190.
    3. Duc Bao Nguyen & Anne‐Gaël Vaubourg, 2021. "Financial intermediation, trade agreements and international trade," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(3), pages 788-817, March.
    4. Vlatka Bilas, 2018. "World Trade Organization and regional economic integrations: together in future or not?," International Studies, Libertas International University, vol. 18(1-2), pages 49-64.
    5. Zuzanna Studnicka & Wouter Thierie & Jan Van Hove, 2019. "The impact of regional trade agreements on European exports," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 467-488, July.
    6. Nenubari Ikue John & Ifeanyichukwu Lucky Amabuike & Joseph Ade Ajaba & John Akin Sodipo & Linus Bamekpari Enegesi, 2020. "Financial system, trade concentration and economic growth in West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ)," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 9(4), pages 426-436, July.
    7. Ederington, Josh & Paraschiv, Mihai & Zanardi, Maurizio, 2022. "The short and long-run effects of international environmental agreements on trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    8. Ehigiamusoe, Kizito Uyi & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2019. "Do economic and financial integration stimulate economic growth? A critical survey," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 13, pages 1-27.
    9. Luis Florensa & Laura Márquez-Ramos & María Recalde, 2015. "The effect of economic integration and institutional quality of trade agreements on trade margins: evidence for Latin America," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 151(2), pages 329-351, May.
    10. Nivedita Mullick & Areej A. Siddiqui, 2021. "Economic Integration Agreements and Extensive Margin of Export: An Empirical Study of India," Working Papers 2155, Indian Institute of Foreign Trade.
    11. Márquez-Ramos , Laura, 2016. "Regionalism, subnational variation and gravity: A four-country tale," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 35, pages 7-36.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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