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Brexit and the Euro

Author

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  • Nauro Campos
  • Corrado Macchiarelli

Abstract

The year 2019 marks the 20th anniversary of the euro as well as Brexit, the expected exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union. This paper examines the relationship between Brexit and the stability of the euro area. We look at stability from the perspective of the distance between core and periphery groups of countries which, we show, is mainly determined by the level of synchronization of economic activity among them. We provide new evidence that the UK economy, since 1990, has become significantly more integrated with the EU economy. The UK moved from being in the periphery before 1990 to being in the core afterwards. We also provide evidence that the level of business cycles synchronization of the UK economy with the EU has had the highest, among all countries, variability over time. We conclude with some policy implications from Brexit for the stability of the euro area.

Suggested Citation

  • Nauro Campos & Corrado Macchiarelli, 2020. "Brexit and the Euro," LEQS – LSE 'Europe in Question' Discussion Paper Series 154, European Institute, LSE.
    • Handle: RePEc:eiq:eileqs:154
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    Cited by:

    1. Campos, Nauro F. & Macchiarelli, Corrado, 2021. "The dynamics of core and periphery in the European monetary union: A new approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    2. Tobias Tesche, 2020. "The European Union's response to the coronavirus emergency: an early assessment," LEQS – LSE 'Europe in Question' Discussion Paper Series 157, European Institute, LSE.
    3. Gerard Delanty, 2020. "Six political philosophies in search of a virus: Critical perspectives on the coronavirus pandemic," LEQS – LSE 'Europe in Question' Discussion Paper Series 156, European Institute, LSE.
    4. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2022. "Inflation convergence over time: Sector‐level evidence within Europe," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 183-217, August.
    5. Nina Lopez Uroz, 2020. "Populism Amidst Prosperity: Poland's Growth Model and its Socio-Political Outcomes," LEQS – LSE 'Europe in Question' Discussion Paper Series 159, European Institute, LSE.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    European Monetary Union; Eurozone; Core-periphery;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration

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