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Tourism expenditures and crisis transmission: a general equilibrium GVAR analysis with network theory

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  • Konstantakis, Konstantinos N.
  • Soklis, George
  • Michaelides, Panayotis G.

Abstract

According to the World Tourism Organization, during the last decades, tourism has become one of the largest and most dynamic economic industries in the world. In this work, we employ a Network General Equilibrium GVAR model to analyze the impact of tourism expenditures on GDP and our approach allows for the existence of dominant economies in the system. The model is estimated simultaneously as a system of equations for a large panel of world economies and the results show that the less developed economies are quite vulnerable to changes in the tourism expenditures of the dominant economies. Meanwhile, USA is found to be largely unaffected by shocks in the tourism expenditures of the less developed economies.

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  • Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Soklis, George & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Tourism expenditures and crisis transmission: a general equilibrium GVAR analysis with network theory," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 83531, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:83531
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    4. Dimitrios Karamanis, 2022. "Defence partnerships, military expenditure, investment, and economic growth: an analysis in PESCO countries," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 173, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
    5. Alina-Petronela Haller & Georgia-Daniela Tacu Hârșan, 2023. "Longitudinal Analysis of Sustainable Tourism Potential of the Black Sea Riparian States Bulgaria, Romania and Turkey," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-24, February.
    6. Alessandro Severino & Larysa Martseniuk & Salvatore Curto & Larysa Neduzha, 2021. "Routes Planning Models for Railway Transport Systems in Relation to Passengers’ Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-27, August.
    7. Gunter, Ulrich & Zekan, Bozana, 2021. "Forecasting air passenger numbers with a GVAR model," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    8. Theodoros Daglis & Konstantinos N. Konstantakis & Panos Xidonas & Panayotis G. Michaelides & Areistidis Samitas, 2024. "Solar Weather Dynamics and the US Economy: A Comprehensive GVAR Perspective," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 955-977, October.

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    Keywords

    GVAR USA World economy;

    JEL classification:

    • N0 - Economic History - - General
    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns
    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General

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