Land and stock bubbles, crashes and exit strategies in Japan circa 1990 and in 2013
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2015.
"Testing For Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes Of Exuberance And Collapse In The S&P 500,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1043-1078, November.
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi & Jun Yu, 2013. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles 1: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500," Working Papers 04-2013, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi & Jun Yu, 2013. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1914, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- A. Corcos & J-P Eckmann & A. Malaspinas & Y. Malevergne & D. Sornette, 2002.
"Imitation and contrarian behaviour: hyperbolic bubbles, crashes and chaos,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(4), pages 264-281.
- A. Corcos & J. -P. Eckmann & A. Malaspinas & Y. Malevergne & D. Sornette, 2001. "Imitation and contrarian behavior: hyperbolic bubbles, crashes and chaos," Papers cond-mat/0109410, arXiv.org.
- Anne Corcos & Jean-Pierre Eckmann & A. Malaspinas & Yannick Malevergne & Didier Sornette, 2002. "Imitation and contrarian behavior: hyperbolic bubbles, crashes and chaos," Post-Print hal-03833822, HAL.
- Anne Corcos & J.P. Eckmann & A. Malaspinas & Yannick Malevergne & Didier Sornette, 2002. "Imitation and contrarian behavior : hyperbolic bubbles, crashes and chaos," Post-Print hal-02312891, HAL.
- Didier Sornette & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2002.
"The US 2000-2002 market descent: How much longer and deeper?,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(6), pages 468-481.
- D. Sornette & W. -X. Zhou, 2002. "The US 2000-2002 Market Descent: How Much Longer and Deeper?," Papers cond-mat/0209065, arXiv.org.
- D. Sornette, 2003. "Critical Market Crashes," Papers cond-mat/0301543, arXiv.org.
- Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009.
"Varieties of Crises and Their Dates,"
Introductory Chapters, in: This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly,
Princeton University Press.
- Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 8973.
- Reinhart, Carmen, 2009. "The Second Great Contraction," MPRA Paper 21485, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Stiglitz, Joseph E, 1990. "Symposium on Bubbles," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 13-18, Spring.
- French, Kenneth R. & Poterba, James M., 1991.
"Were Japanese stock prices too high?,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 337-363, October.
- French, K.R. & Poterba, J.M., 1990. "Are Japanese Stock Prices Too High?," Working papers 547, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
- Kenneth R. French & James M. Poterba, 1990. "Were Japanese Stock Prices Too High?," NBER Working Papers 3290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Douglas Stone & William T. Ziemba, 1993. "Land and Stock Prices in Japan," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 7(3), pages 149-165, Summer.
- Evanoff, Douglas D. & Kaufman, George G. & Malliaris, A. G. (ed.), 2012. "New Perspectives on Asset Price Bubbles," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199844401.
- Wanfeng Yan & Reda Rebib & Ryan Woodard & Didier Sornette, "undated".
"Detection of Crashes and Rebounds in Major Equity Markets,"
Working Papers
ETH-RC-11-001, ETH Zurich, Chair of Systems Design.
- Wanfeng Yan & Reda Rebib & Ryan Woodard & Didier Sornette, 2011. "Detection of Crashes and Rebounds in Major Equity Markets," Papers 1108.0077, arXiv.org.
- Adrian R. Bell & Chris Brooks & Marcel Prokopczuk (ed.), 2013. "Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Finance," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14545, March.
- Lleo, Sebastien & Ziemba, William T., 2014. "Does the bond-stock earning yield differential model predict equity market corrections better than high P/E models?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 59290, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Lleo, Sébastien & Ziemba, William T., 2015.
"Some historical perspectives on the Bond-Stock Earnings Yield Model for crash prediction around the world,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 399-425.
- Lleo, Sebastien & Ziemba, Bill, 2014. "Some historical perspectives on the Bond-Stock Earnings Yield Model for crash prediction around the world," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60960, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Evanoff, Douglas D. & Kaufman, George G. & Malliaris, A. G. (ed.), 2012. "New Perspectives on Asset Price Bubbles," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199844333.
- Camerer, Colin, 1989. "Bubbles and Fads in Asset Prices," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(1), pages 3-41.
- Jose A. Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2003. "Overconfidence and Speculative Bubbles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 111(6), pages 1183-1219, December.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Lleo, Sébastien & Ziemba, William T., 2015.
"Some historical perspectives on the Bond-Stock Earnings Yield Model for crash prediction around the world,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 399-425.
- Lleo, Sebastien & Ziemba, Bill, 2014. "Some historical perspectives on the Bond-Stock Earnings Yield Model for crash prediction around the world," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60960, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Jerome L Kreuser & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Super-Exponential RE Bubble Model with Efficient Crashes," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 17-33, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2013.
"Financial Crises: Explanations, Types and Implications,"
CAMA Working Papers
2013-06, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Claessens, Stijn & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2013. "Financial Crises: Explanations, Types, and Implications," CEPR Discussion Papers 9329, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mr. Stijn Claessens & Mr. Ayhan Kose, 2013. "Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications," IMF Working Papers 2013/028, International Monetary Fund.
- Anastasios Evgenidis & Anastasios G. Malliaris, 2020. "To Lean Or Not To Lean Against An Asset Price Bubble? Empirical Evidence," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(4), pages 1958-1976, October.
- Lleo, Sebastien & Zhitlukhin, Mikhail & Ziemba, William, 2021. "Using a mean changing stochastic processes exit-entry model for stock market long-short prediction," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118875, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Shiryaev, Albert N. & Zhitlukhin, M. V. & Ziemba, William T., 2013. "When to sell Apple and the NASDAQ? Trading bubbles with a stochastic disorder model," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60966, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Anna Scherbina & Bernd Schlusche, 2012. "Asset Bubbles: an Application to Residential Real Estate," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 18(3), pages 464-491, June.
- Anastasios G. Malliaris, 2018. "The Evolving Nature of Asset Price Bubbles, Financial Instability and Monetary Policy," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 22(1-2), pages 35-62, March - J.
- Wosnitza, Jan Henrik & Leker, Jens, 2014. "Can log-periodic power law structures arise from random fluctuations?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 401(C), pages 228-250.
- Chen, Mei-Ping & Lin, Yu-Hui & Tseng, Chun-Yao & Chen, Wen-Yi, 2015. "Bubbles in health care: Evidence from the U.S., U.K., and German stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 193-205.
- Lleo, Sebastien & Ziemba, William, 2017.
"A tale of two indexes: predicting equity market downturns in China,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
85131, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Lleo, Sebastien & Ziemba, William, 2018. "A tale of two indexes: predicting equity market downturns in China," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118923, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Bradley Jones, 2015. "Asset Bubbles: Re-thinking Policy for the Age of Asset Management," IMF Working Papers 2015/027, International Monetary Fund.
- Issing, Otmar, 2012. "Central banks: Paradise lost," CFS Working Paper Series 2012/06, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Sornette, Didier & Woodard, Ryan & Yan, Wanfeng & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2013. "Clarifications to questions and criticisms on the Johansen–Ledoit–Sornette financial bubble model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(19), pages 4417-4428.
- Kaizoji, Taisei & Leiss, Matthias & Saichev, Alexander & Sornette, Didier, 2015.
"Super-exponential endogenous bubbles in an equilibrium model of fundamentalist and chartist traders,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 289-310.
- Taisei KAIZOJI & Matthias LEISS & Alexander I. SAICHEV & Didier SORNETTE, 2015. "Super-Exponential Endogenous Bubbles in an Equilibrium Model of Fundamentalist and Chartist Traders," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-07, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Zhou, Wei-Xing & Sornette, Didier, 2009.
"A case study of speculative financial bubbles in the South African stock market 2003–2006,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(6), pages 869-880.
- Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2007. "A case study of speculative financial bubbles in the South African stock market 2003-2006," Papers physics/0701171, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2008.
- A. N. Shiryaev & M. V. Zhitlukhin & W. T. Ziemba, 2015. "Land and stock bubbles, crashes and exit strategies in Japan circa 1990 and in 2013," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(9), pages 1449-1469, September.
- Colin A. Carter & Gordon C. Rausser & Aaron Smith, 2011. "Commodity Booms and Busts," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 87-118, October.
- Wosnitza, Jan Henrik & Denz, Cornelia, 2013. "Liquidity crisis detection: An application of log-periodic power law structures to default prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(17), pages 3666-3681.
- Otmar Issing, 2012. "Central Banks - Paradise Lost," IMES Discussion Paper Series 12-E-10, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
More about this item
Keywords
bubble; change point detection; bond-stock model; Nikkei stock average; golf course membership index;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
- C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-FMK-2015-02-11 (Financial Markets)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:59288. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: LSERO Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/lsepsuk.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.