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Business Cycle Regimes in CEECs Production: a Threshold SUR Approach

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  • Nektarios Aslanidis

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to study economic activity in CEECs and to look at the transmission of economic activity between the euro area and CEECs. Econometric techniques appropriate for a threshold seemingly unrelated regressions specification are developed to take account of factors that are common to all CEECs. This methodology also allows for asymmetries in the activity of the CEECs governed by the overall euro area activity. The results show slow growth for most CEECs when the euro area economy decelerates, but high growth when the euro area economy grows.

Suggested Citation

  • Nektarios Aslanidis, 2006. "Business Cycle Regimes in CEECs Production: a Threshold SUR Approach," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2006-01, Bank of Estonia, revised 10 Oct 2006.
    • Handle: RePEc:eea:boewps:wp2006-01
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    threshold SUR; asymmetry; business cycles;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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