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Correlated Emissions Variability in Tradable Permit Markets with Imperfect Enforcement

Author

Listed:
  • Lata Gangadharan
  • Timothy N. Cason

Abstract

Unexpected variation in emissions can have an enormous impact on the prices of emission permits and the efficiency achieved in tradable permit markets. Shocks to emission levels can be correlated across firms; for example, most firms require more emission permits than planned for following a widespread, hot summer. In this paper we report results from a laboratory experiment in which subjects participate in an emissions trading market in the presence of emissions uncertainty. Subjects face exogenous, random positive or negative shocks to their emission levels after they make production and emission control plans for that period. In one treatment subjects face correlated shocks and in another they face uncorrelated shocks. In some sessions we allow subjects to bank their permits for future use. In all sessions, subjects can trade in a reconciliation period to buy or sell extra permits following the shock realization. Subjects then report their emissions to the regulatory authority and they are placed in different inspection groups depending on their compliance history. The design of our experiment allows us to identify important interactions between emission shocks, banking and enforcement. Preliminary results suggest that the relationship between emission shocks and price changes is significantly stronger without banking, and that price volatility is two to three times greater without banking. Banking therefore helps in smoothing out the price variability arising from the imperfect control of emission

Suggested Citation

  • Lata Gangadharan & Timothy N. Cason, 2004. "Correlated Emissions Variability in Tradable Permit Markets with Imperfect Enforcement," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 103, Econometric Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecm:ausm04:103
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Timothy N. Cason & Lata Gangadharan, 2006. "An Experimental Study of Compliance and Leverage in Auditing and Regulatory Enforcement," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 44(2), pages 352-366, April.
    2. Emilie Alberola & Julien Chevallier, 2009. "European Carbon Prices and Banking Restrictions: Evidence from Phase I (2005-2007)," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), pages 51-80.
    3. Neil J. Buckley & Stuart Mestelman & R. Andrew Muller, 2006. "Implications Of Alternative Emission Trading Plans: Experimental Evidence," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(2), pages 149-166, June.
    4. Murphy, James J. & Stranlund, John K., 2007. "A laboratory investigation of compliance behavior under tradable emissions rights: Implications for targeted enforcement," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 196-212, March.
    5. Murphy, James J. & Stranlund, John K., 2006. "Direct and market effects of enforcing emissions trading programs: An experimental analysis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 61(2), pages 217-233, October.
    6. Emilie Alberola & Julien Chevallier, 2007. "European carbon prices and banking restrictions: evidence from phase I (2005-2007)," Working Papers hal-04139202, HAL.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Correlated Shocks; Banking; Enforcement; Laboratory Experiments;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
    • Q20 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - General
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General

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