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Inflation targeting and monetary analysis in Chile and Mexico

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  • Sanchez-Fung, Jose R

    (Kingston University)

Abstract

This paper studies the role of monetary and open economy indicators in inflation targeting (IT) economies through the analysis of a nested Phillips curve/ P-star model for Chile and Mexico. For Chile a real money gap and a money growth indicator are found to be relevant in predicting deviations of observed from target inflation. In contrast, for Mexico real exchange rate measures are robust predictors of deviations of actual from (i) expected inflation during the pre-IT (1999) period, and (ii) target inflation in the post-IT span.

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  • Sanchez-Fung, Jose R, 2003. "Inflation targeting and monetary analysis in Chile and Mexico," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 179, Royal Economic Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecj:ac2003:179
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    2. Andres Gonzalez & Luis Melo & Carlos Posada, 2009. "Inflation and money in Colombia: another P-Star model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(10), pages 1321-1329.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation targeting; monetary policy; money demand; PPP; P-star; Phillips curve; cointegration; Kalman filter; block Granger non-causality; VARs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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