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Why do we need to strengthen climate adaptations? Scenarios and financial lines of defence

Author

Listed:
  • Mongelli, Francesco Paolo
  • Ceglar, Andrej
  • Scheid, Benedikt Alois

Abstract

Adaptation needs are vast, rising fast and difficult to determine in their entirety, especially with uncertain adverse scenarios due to climate inertia and implementation lags. Adaptation is hindered by a lack of a unified understanding of what it necessitates; the challenge in pointing out its costs, benefits, and residual risks; insufficiently prescriptive policy and legal frameworks; and the growing financing gap. Conversely, we now have better granular climate data to study the impacts of climate hazards and forecast climate risks; there is awareness that adaptation choices must be dynamic and reactive; and there is an increasing pool of case studies from which to learn. There is evidence that efficient adaptation investments can yield “triple-dividends” helping to close the financing gap. There is a need to absorb and smooth the impacts of rising extreme climate events. Innovative financial instruments, such as catastrophe bonds and climate bonds, might support challenged insurance coverages. JEL Classification: E52, Q54

Suggested Citation

  • Mongelli, Francesco Paolo & Ceglar, Andrej & Scheid, Benedikt Alois, 2024. "Why do we need to strengthen climate adaptations? Scenarios and financial lines of defence," Working Paper Series 3005, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20243005
    Note: 1423663
    as

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    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp3005~35f938a452.en.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marshall Burke & Solomon M. Hsiang & Edward Miguel, 2015. "Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production," Nature, Nature, vol. 527(7577), pages 235-239, November.
    2. Joseph P. Byrne & Prince Asare Vitenu-Sackey, 2024. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Global and Country-Specific Climate Risk," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(3), pages 655-682, March.
    3. Elva Bova & Marta Ruiz-Arranz & Frederik Giancarlo Toscani & Hatice Elif Ture, 2019. "The impact of contingent liability realizations on public finances," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 26(2), pages 381-417, April.
    4. Lena Boneva & Gianluigi Ferrucci & Francesco Paolo Mongelli, 2022. "Climate change and central banks: what role for monetary policy?," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(6), pages 770-787, July.
    5. Burke, Marshall & Hsiang, Solomon M & Miguel, Edward, 2015. "Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt3g72r0zv, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate adaptation; climate change; climate disasters; climate financing; environmental economics; resilience;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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