IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ecb/ecbops/2017190.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Financial stability assessment of EU candidate and potential candidate countries

Author

Listed:
  • Gächter, Martin
  • Macki, Piotr
  • Moder, Isabella
  • Polgár, Éva Katalin
  • Savelin, Li
  • Żuk, Piotr

Abstract

This paper reviews and assesses financial stability challenges in countries preparing for EU membership i.e. Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Turkey. The paper focuses on the period since 2014 and on the banking sectors that dominate financial systems in this group of countries. It identifies two main near-term challenges applying to most of them. The first relates to credit risk, which remains substantial despite some progress in reducing the burden of non-performing loans on banks’ balance sheets in the period under review. However, progress so far is limited, partly owing to structural impediments. The second relates to the still high share of foreign exchange denominated loans and deposits, which poses an indirect credit risk in the case of lending to unhedged borrowers and impairs the monetary transmission channel. In addition, profitability is worth monitoring going forward, as it remains subdued in many countries given high provisioning needs and a lacklustre credit growth and low interest rate environment. These concerns are generally met with a solid shock-absorbing capacity, as exemplified by robust capital and liquidity buffers. JEL Classification: F31, F34, F36, G15, G21, G28

Suggested Citation

  • Gächter, Martin & Macki, Piotr & Moder, Isabella & Polgár, Éva Katalin & Savelin, Li & Żuk, Piotr, 2017. "Financial stability assessment of EU candidate and potential candidate countries," Occasional Paper Series 190, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbops:2017190
    Note: 2596453
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu//pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op190.en.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Savelin, Li & Alvarez Orviz, Roberto, 2017. "Benchmarking institutional and structural indicators in EU candidate and potential candidate countries," Occasional Paper Series 184, European Central Bank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amat Adarov & Richard Grieveson & Mario Holzner & Olga Pindyuk & Hermine Vidovic, 2019. "Unsecured Lending in Central and Southeast Europe," wiiw Market Report 1, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    2. Moder, Isabella & Bonifai, Niccolò, 2017. "Access to finance in the Western Balkans," Occasional Paper Series 197, European Central Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    banking sector; credit growth; cross-border flows; deleveraging.; EU accession; financial stability; foreign exchange lending; Western Balkans;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbops:2017190. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Official Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/emieude.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.