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Do Remittances Affect Housing Prices in an Emerging Economy? A Study Case from Colombia

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  • Esteban Callejas Perez

Abstract

Remittances amounts on average two thirds of the FDI inflows of emerging economies. Literature on development and remittances coincides on the fact that when remittances are used as an investment, this investment generally materializes as housing. This work in progress proposes to fill a gap in the literature on remittances and development by studying what is the relation between remittances and housing prices at the aggregate level. This is done by regressing remittances against housing prices and housing approvals taking the Colombian economy as a case of study. The conclusions from the empirical analysis, suggest that remittances seem to increase the relative supply of housing which in turn reduces housing prices. In the long run, this effect seems to fade out as suggested by an estimated model adapted from Blanchard and Quah [1988].

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  • Esteban Callejas Perez, 2021. "Do Remittances Affect Housing Prices in an Emerging Economy? A Study Case from Colombia," Working Papers ECARES 2021-08, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    • Handle: RePEc:eca:wpaper:2013/320700
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Quah, Danny, 1989. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 655-673, September.
    2. Dilip K. Ratha & Supriyo De & Ervin Dervisevic & Sonia Plaza & Kirsten Schuettler & William Shaw & Hanspeter Wyss & Soonhwa Yi & Seyed Reza Yousefi, 2015. "Migration and Remittances," World Bank Publications - Reports 25478, The World Bank Group.
    3. Kuckulenz, Anja & Buch, Claudia M., 2004. "Worker Remittances and Capital Flows to Developing Countries," ZEW Discussion Papers 04-31, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    4. Mazzucato, Valentina, 2009. "Informal Insurance Arrangements in Ghanaian Migrants' Transnational Networks: The Role of Reverse Remittances and Geographic Proximity," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 1105-1115, June.
    5. Fischer, Stanley, 1977. "Long-Term Contracts, Rational Expectations, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(1), pages 191-205, February.
    6. Richard Adams, 2011. "Evaluating the Economic Impact of International Remittances On Developing Countries Using Household Surveys: A Literature Review," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 809-828.
    7. Osili, Una Okonkwo, 2004. "Migrants and Housing Investments: Theory and Evidence from Nigeria," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 52(4), pages 821-849, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sergi Basco & Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2024. "House Prices and International Remittances: Evidence from Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1273, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Refk Selmi & Farid Makhlouf, 2021. "Can Venezuelan scenario be repeated in Tunisia? The role of remittances in an inflationary context," Working Papers hal-03429730, HAL.

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    Keywords

    Remittances; Macroeconomic Analysis of Economic Housing Supply and Markets; Housing Demand;
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