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The equity premium in 150 textbooks

Author

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  • Fernandez, Pablo

    (IESE Business School)

Abstract

I review 150 textbooks on corporate finance and valuation published between 1979 and 2009 by authors such as Brealey, Myers, Copeland, Damodaran, Merton, Ross, Bruner, Bodie, Penman, Arzac¿ and find that their recommendations regarding the equity premium range from 3% to 10%, and that 51 books use different equity premia in various pages. The 5-year moving average has declined from 8.4% in 1990 to 5.7% in 2008 and 2009. Some confusion arises from not distinguishing among the four concepts that the phrase equity premium designates: the Historical, the Expected, the Required and the Implied equity premium. 129 of the books identify Expected and Required equity premium and 82 identify Expected and Historical equity premium. Finance textbooks should clarify the equity premium by incorporating distinguishing definitions of the four different concepts and conveying a clearer message about their sensible magnitudes.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernandez, Pablo, 2009. "The equity premium in 150 textbooks," IESE Research Papers D/829, IESE Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebg:iesewp:d-0829
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    File URL: http://www.iese.edu/research/pdfs/DI-0829-E.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Fernández, Pablo & Aguirreamalloa, Javier & Corres, Luis, 2013. "Market Risk Premium Used in 82 Countries in 2012: A Survey with 7,192 Answers," IESE Research Papers D/1059, IESE Business School.
    2. van Ewijk, Casper & de Groot, Henri L.F. & Santing, A.J. (Coos), 2012. "A meta-analysis of the equity premium," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 819-830.
    3. Leiss, Matthias & Nax, Heinrich H. & Sornette, Didier, 2015. "Super-exponential growth expectations and the global financial crisis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-13.
    4. Jin-Chuan Duan & Weiqi Zhang, 2014. "Forward-Looking Market Risk Premium," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(2), pages 521-538, February.
    5. Leiss, Matthias & Nax, Heinrich H. & Sornette, Didier, 2015. "Super-exponential growth expectations and the global financial crisis," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65434, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Anjos, Fernando, 2010. "Costly refocusing, the diversification discount, and the pervasiveness of diversified firms," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 276-287, June.
    7. Dimitrios Angelopoulos & Robert Brückmann & Filip JirouÅ¡ & Inga KonstantinaviÄ iÅ«tÄ— & Paul Noothout & John Psarras & Lucie Tesnière & Barbara Breitschopf, 2016. "Risks and cost of capital for onshore wind energy investments in EU countries," Energy & Environment, , vol. 27(1), pages 82-104, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    equity premium puzzle; required equity premium; expected equity premium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • M21 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - Business Economics

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