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A Numerical Study on Assessing Sustainable Development with Future Genuine Savings Simulation

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  • Masayuki Sato
  • Sovannroeun Samreth
  • Katsunori Yamada
  • Fumio Sensui

Abstract

This paper presents a numerical examination of sustainability from the perspective of "Genuine Savings," using a data set provided by the World Bank. Unlike previously-used criteria of sustainability that focuses on observed paths of genuine savings rates, we consider future sustainability by simulating future paths of genuine savings. This analysis shows that some countries that had been classified as being sustainable by previous studies, using observed paths, are, in fact, not sustainable from the perspective of future sustainability. We provide information on capital components which should be targeted by policymakers in order to maintain future sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • Masayuki Sato & Sovannroeun Samreth & Katsunori Yamada & Fumio Sensui, 2008. "A Numerical Study on Assessing Sustainable Development with Future Genuine Savings Simulation," ISER Discussion Paper 0728rr, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University, revised Apr 2011.
    • Handle: RePEc:dpr:wpaper:0728rr
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    1. Gnègnè, Yacouba, 2009. "Adjusted net saving and welfare change," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(4), pages 1127-1139, February.
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    1. Koji Tokimatsu & Rintaro Yamguchi & Masayuki Sato & Rieko Yasuoka & Masahiro Nishio & Kazuhiro Ueta, 2014. "Assessing future sustainability by forecast of Genuine Savings paths," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 16(4), pages 359-379, October.
    2. Collins, Ross D. & Selin, Noelle E. & de Weck, Olivier L. & Clark, William C., 2017. "Using inclusive wealth for policy evaluation: Application to electricity infrastructure planning in oil-exporting countries," Scholarly Articles 32696191, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
    3. Sato, Masayuki & Samreth, Sovannroeun & Sasaki, Kengo, 2013. "The Stability of Sustainable Development Path and Institutions: Evidence from Genuine Savings Indicators," MPRA Paper 48983, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Collins, Ross D. & Selin, Noelle E. & de Weck, Olivier L. & Clark, William C., 2016. "Using Inclusive Wealth for Policy Evaluation: Application to Electricity Infrastructure Planning in Oil-Exporting Countries," Working Paper Series 16-010, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    5. Collins, Ross D. & Selin, Noelle E. & de Weck, Olivier L. & Clark, William C., 2017. "Using inclusive wealth for policy evaluation: Application to electricity infrastructure planning in oil-exporting countries," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 23-34.

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