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How Do Tourists React to Political Violence?: An Empirical Analysis of Tourism in Egypt

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  • David Fielding
  • Anja Shortland

Abstract

This paper uses a detailed database of political violence in Egypt to study European and US tourists' attitudes towards travelling to a conflict region. We use time series analysis to study the heterogeneous impacts of different dimensions of political violence and counter-violence on tourist flows to Egypt in the 1990s. We find that both US and EU tourists respond negatively to attacks on tourists, but do not appear to be influenced by casualties arising in confrontations between domestic groups. However, European tourists are sensitive to the counter-violence measures implemented by the Egyptian government. There is also evidence of tourism in Egypt being affected by the Israeli / Palestinian conflict, with arrivals of tourists into Egypt rising when fatalities in Israel increase.

Suggested Citation

  • David Fielding & Anja Shortland, 2010. "How Do Tourists React to Political Violence?: An Empirical Analysis of Tourism in Egypt," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1022, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp1022
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    File URL: https://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.358263.de/dp1022.pdf
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    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. The impact of political violence on tourism
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2010-08-10 19:10:00

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    Cited by:

    1. Mahalia Jackman, 2014. "Output Volatility and Tourism Specialization in Small Island Developing States," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(3), pages 527-544, June.
    2. Rana Ejaz Ali Khan & Tusawar Iftikhar Ahmad & Jaweria Haleem, 2021. "The Governance and Tourism: A Case of Developing Countries," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(3), pages 199-213, September.
    3. Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou, 2019. "Peace And Tourism: A Nexus? Evidence From Developed And Developing Countries," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 64(02), pages 323-339, March.
    4. Gogonea Rodica-Manuela & Zaharia Radu Serban & Balacescu Aniela, 2019. "Considerations About External Tourist Actions Organized By Travel Agencies From Romania," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 6, pages 6-13, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tourism; political violence; Egypt;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • P48 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism

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