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Contextualising demography: the significance of local clusters of fertility in Scotland

Author

Listed:
  • Paul J. Boyle

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)

  • E. Graham
  • Z. Feng

Abstract

This study links empirical analysis of geographical variations in fertility to ideas of contextualising demography. We examine whether there are statistically significant clusters of fertility in Scotland between 1981 and 2001, controlling for more general factors expected to influence fertility. Our hypothesis, that fertility patterns at a local scale cannot be explained entirely by ecological socio-economic variables, is supported. In fact, there are ‘unexplained’ local clusters of high and low fertility, which would be masked in analyses at a different scale. We discuss the demographic significance of local fertility clusters as contexts for fertility behaviour, including the role of the housing market and social interaction processes, and the residential sorting of those displaying or anticipating different fertility behaviour. We conclude that greater understanding of local geographical contexts is needed if we are to develop mid-level demographic theories and shift the focus of fertility research from events to processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul J. Boyle & E. Graham & Z. Feng, 2007. "Contextualising demography: the significance of local clusters of fertility in Scotland," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2007-036, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2007-036
    DOI: 10.4054/MPIDR-WP-2007-036
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    Cited by:

    1. Jesús Rodrigo-Comino & Gianluca Egidi & Adele Sateriano & Stefano Poponi & Enrico Maria Mosconi & Antonio Gimenez Morera, 2021. "Suburban Fertility and Metropolitan Cycles: Insights from European Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-14, February.
    2. Kotyrlo, Elena, 2023. "Daily labor mobility and the timing of entry into motherhood," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 70, pages 55-71.
    3. Kosyakina, Anastasia, 2023. "A bubble in the housing market? Analysis based on the repeat-sales method for the secondary market in Moscow and Saint Petersburg," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 70, pages 72-88.
    4. H. Kulu & P. J. Boyle, 2009. "High Fertility in City Suburbs: Compositional or Contextual Effects?," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 25(2), pages 157-174, May.
    5. Kevin Ralston & Vernon Gayle & Paul Lambert, 2016. "Gender, Occupation and First Birth: Do ‘Career Men’ Delay First Birth Too?," Sociological Research Online, , vol. 21(1), pages 90-101, February.
    6. Sági, Judit & Lentner, Csaba, 2020. "A magyar népességpolitikai intézkedések tényezői és várható hatásai [Factors and expected outcomes of pro-birth policy interventions]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(3), pages 289-308.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Scotland; fertility; geography;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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