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Phasing in and Phasing Out Protectionism with Costly Adjustment of Labour

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  • Karp, Larry
  • Paul, Thierry

Abstract

We study the dynamics of optimal trade policy in a model with costly inter-sectoral adjustment of labour, where migrants pay less than the marginal social cost of migration. If workers have rational expectations, a future tariff has an announcement effect on the current migration decision. If the government is able to commit itself to future policy, the optimal trajectory involves phasing in and then phasing out protection of the dying sector. This contrasts with recommendations of gradual liberalization. Without the ability to make commitments, the equilibrium policy begins with and maintains free trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Karp, Larry & Paul, Thierry, 1993. "Phasing in and Phasing Out Protectionism with Costly Adjustment of Labour," CEPR Discussion Papers 856, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:856
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    Cited by:

    1. Amitrajeet A. Batabyal & Hamid Beladi, 2008. "A Dynamic Analysis Of Protection And Environmental Policy In A Small Trading Developing Country," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Dynamic And Stochastic Approaches To The Environment And Economic Development, chapter 11, pages 189-212, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Terra, Maria Cristina T., 1999. "Tariff design with varying degrees of commitment," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 123-147, February.
    3. Amitrajeet A. Batabyal & Dug Man Lee, 2008. "Dynamic Environmental Policy In Developing Countries With A Dual Economy," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Dynamic And Stochastic Approaches To The Environment And Economic Development, chapter 10, pages 165-187, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Alvaro Forteza & Rossana Patrón, 2003. "Trade Liberalisation with Costly Adjustment," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 6, pages 95-125, May.
    5. Erling Steigum & Øystein Thøgersen, 2003. "Borrow and Adjust: Fiscal Policy and Sectoral Adjustment in an Open Economy," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 44(2), pages 699-724, May.
    6. Didier Laussel & Philippe Michel & Thierry Paul, 2004. "Intersectoral adjustment and unemployment in a two-country Ricardian model. Une approche par la méthode événementielle," Recherches économiques de Louvain, De Boeck Université, vol. 70(2), pages 169-192.
    7. Didier LAUSSEL & Philippe MICHEL & Thierry Paul, 2004. "Intersectoral adjustment and unemployment in a two-country Ricardian model," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) 2004023, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    8. Karp, Larry S., 1995. "The Direction and Timing of Agricultural Trade Reform in Central and East Europe," CUDARE Working Papers 6297, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    9. Steven J. Matusz, 2001. "Trade Policy Reform and Labor Market Dynamics: Issues and an Agenda for Future Research," Economics Study Area Working Papers 24, East-West Center, Economics Study Area.
    10. Karp, Larry S. & Liu, Xuemei, 2000. "The Clean Development Mechanism and its Controversies," CUDARE Working Papers 6250, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    11. Karp, Larry S., 1997. "A Neoclassical View of Trade Liberalization," CUDARE Working Papers 6242, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    12. Karp, Larry & Paul, Thierry, 1998. "Labor adjustment and gradual reform: when is commitment important?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 333-362, December.
    13. Shubham Chaudhuri & John McLaren, 2007. "Some Simple Analytics of Trade and Labor Mobility," NBER Working Papers 13464, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Karp, Larry & Paul, Thierry, 1994. "Labor Adjustment and Gradual Reform:Is Commitment Important?," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt7gc7t3nm, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    15. Larry Karp & Thierry Paul, 2005. "Intersectoral Adjustment and Policy Intervention: the Importance of General‐Equilibrium Effects," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(2), pages 330-355, May.
    16. Stephen Cameron & Shubham Chaudhuri & John McLaren, 2007. "Trade Shocks and Labor Adjustment: Theory," NBER Working Papers 13463, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Artuç, Erhan & Chaudhuri, Shubham & McLaren, John, 2008. "Delay and dynamics in labor market adjustment: Simulation results," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 1-13, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Adjustment Costs; Dynamic Tariffs; Markov Perfection; Time Inconsistency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • J20 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - General
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity

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