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Macroeconomic Policy, External Targets and Constraints: The Case of Spain

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  • Dolado, Juan J.
  • Viñals, José

Abstract

This paper argues that in the presence of distortions and market imperfections it may be rational for governments to monitor short-run fluctuations of the external account in order to anticipate and therefore avoid difficulties, even though the true external constraint is binding only in the long run. This seems to have been the case in Spain, where macroeconomic policy over the last 20 years has seen a number of clear changes following unfavourable developments in the external accounts. The results of various solvency tests indicate that, in spite of the recent worsening of the current account, the Spanish economy is currently more than complying with its external constraint. However, we warn against complacency in view of the removal of capital controls in the run-up to 1992.

Suggested Citation

  • Dolado, Juan J. & Viñals, José, 1991. "Macroeconomic Policy, External Targets and Constraints: The Case of Spain," CEPR Discussion Papers 505, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:505
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sónia Costa, 1998. "Determination of the equilibrium real exchange rate for the Portuguese economy using the FEER," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    2. Campa, Jose Manuel & Gavilan, Angel, 2011. "Current accounts in the euro area: An intertemporal approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 205-228, February.
    3. Francisco de Castro & José M. González-Páramo & Pablo Hernández de Cos, 2001. "Evaluating the dynamics of fiscal policy in Spain: patterns of interdependence and consistency of public expenditure and revenues," Working Papers 0103, Banco de España.
    4. Onel, Gulcan & Utkulu, Utku, 2006. "Modeling the long-run sustainability of Turkish external debt with structural changes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 669-682, July.
    5. Misala, Józef, 1992. "The experience of the Mediterranean countries with accession to the European Communities: Lessons for Poland," Kiel Working Papers 511, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    6. Francisco De Castro & Pablo Hernández De Cos, 2002. "On the sustainability of the Spanish public budget performance," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 160(1), pages 9-28, march.
    7. Jovanovic, Branimir, 2007. "Calculating the Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate of the Macedonian Denar," MPRA Paper 43161, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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