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The Empirical Modelling of NIE Exports: An Evaluation of Different Approaches

Author

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  • Muscatelli, Vito Antonio
  • Srinivasan, T G
  • Vines, David

Abstract

This paper investigates the current debate regarding the robustness of estimates of export demand and supply elasticities for LDCs and NIEs obtained by recent empirical studies. The empirical findings reported in the paper suggest that price elasticities of demand are indeed low, and that there are strong and significant income effects on export demand. Furthermore, using a variety of modelling approaches, we demonstrate that the choice of estimation method and normalization need not lead to drastically different conclusions regarding the size of the price elasticity of demand for NIE exports. While this points against the "small-country assumption" usually made regarding LDC/NIE exports, we argue that the preferred development strategy for LDCs need not necessarily be an inward-oriented o.

Suggested Citation

  • Muscatelli, Vito Antonio & Srinivasan, T G & Vines, David, 1990. "The Empirical Modelling of NIE Exports: An Evaluation of Different Approaches," CEPR Discussion Papers 426, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:426
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Raihan, Selim & Razzaque, Mohammad A, 2007. "WTO and regional trade negotiation outcomes: quantitative assessments of potential implications on Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 38475, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Hal Hill & Supbat Suphachalasai, 1992. "The myth of export pessimism (even) under the mfa: evidence from indonesia and thailand," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 128(2), pages 310-329, June.
    3. Jovanovic, Branimir, 2009. "Should the Macedonian denar be devalued? Some evidence from the trade equations," SEER Journal for Labour and Social Affairs in Eastern Europe, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft mbH & Co. KG, vol. 12(3), pages 339-368.
    4. Jakob Madsen, 1998. "Errors-in-variables, supply side effects, and price elasticities in foreign trade," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 134(4), pages 612-637, December.
    5. Mr. Gian M Milesi-Ferretti & Mr. Lorenzo Giorgianni, 1997. "Determinants of Korean Trade Flows and their Geographical Destination," IMF Working Papers 1997/054, International Monetary Fund.
    6. J. Love & E. Turner, 2001. "Exports, domestic policy and world markets: a panel study," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(5), pages 615-627.
    7. Utku UTKULU & Dilek SEYMEN & Aydin ARI, 2010. "Export Supply and Trade Reform: The Turkish Evidence," EcoMod2004 330600144, EcoMod.
    8. Tilak Abeysinghe & Keen Meng Choy, 2005. "Modelling Small Economy Exports : The Case of Singapore," Trade Working Papers 21980, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    9. Lilas Demmou, 2007. "Technical progress in North and welfare gains in South under nonhomothetic preferences," PSE Working Papers halshs-00588310, HAL.
    10. Chris Allen & David Vines, 1993. "Should Clinton Cut the Deficit or is there a Global Paradox of Thrift?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(2), pages 133-158, March.

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