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Non-Transitive Patterns in Long-Term Football Rivalries

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  • van Ours, Jan C.

Abstract

The phenomenon of non-transitivity in outcomes, typically observed in non-effort games with predetermined probabilities and immediate clarity, extends to team-based, time-consuming games requiring effort that unfold over a long period of time. This study explores this aspect through an empirical analysis of professional football matches in the Netherlands involving three prominent teams: Feyenoord, Ajax, and PSV. Contrary to conventional expectations, the results reveal a non-transitive pattern over more than three decades, indicating that Feyenoord is more likely to triumph over PSV, PSV over Ajax, and Ajax over Feyenoord than the reverse scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • van Ours, Jan C., 2024. "Non-Transitive Patterns in Long-Term Football Rivalries," CEPR Discussion Papers 19055, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:19055
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    JEL classification:

    • Z2 - Other Special Topics - - Sports Economics

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