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Keep your Enemies Closer: Strategic Platform Adjustments during U.S. and French Elections

Author

Listed:
  • Di Tella, Rafael
  • Kotti, Randy
  • LePennec, Caroline
  • Pons, Vincent

Abstract

We study changes in political discourse during campaigns, using a novel dataset of candidate websites for U.S. House elections, 2002-2016, and manifestos for French parliamentary and local elections, 1958-2022. We find that candidates move to the center in ideology and rhetorical complexity between the first round (or primary) and the second round (or general election). This convergence reflects candidates’ strategic adjustment to their competitor, as predicted by the median voter theorem: Using an RDD, we show that candidates converge to the platform of opponents who narrowly qualified for the last round, as opposed to those who narrowly failed to qualify.

Suggested Citation

  • Di Tella, Rafael & Kotti, Randy & LePennec, Caroline & Pons, Vincent, 2023. "Keep your Enemies Closer: Strategic Platform Adjustments during U.S. and French Elections," CEPR Discussion Papers 18490, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:18490
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • P00 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - General - - - General

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